| 확률 기반의 위험등급평가 객관화 방안 |
| 신상식, 이길수, 조흥기 |
| 국방기술품질원 |
| An Objective Method of Risk Assessment Based on Stochastic Modelling |
| Sang-Sik Shin, Kil-Soo Lee, Heung-Gi Cho |
| Defense Agency for Technology and Quality Busan Center |
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| ABSTRACT |
Purpose:
To provide a variety of stable military supplies, risk should be avoided or removed. This paper aims to provide an objective method of risk assesment for risk matrix to evaluate risk level.
Methods:
According to previous results of risk assesment through risk matrix, some parameters and probability density functions, which include characteristics of military supplies, are selected and Risk matrix is modelled based on that.
Results:
Results show that a proposed method can evaluate objectively risk level through the stochastic modelling and provide well-balanced risk assessments by categorizing into 3 levels such as high, middle and low level risk.
Conclusion:
A current risk assessment method includes substantial subjectivity of risk assessment and as a problem about military supplies comes up, we can not show any appropriate evidences for decision of risk assessment. We propose an objective scheme employing stochastic modelling with parameters and probability density functions. |
| Key Words:
Risk Assessment;Risk Matrix;Stochastic Modelling; |
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